A Critical Analysis of the Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth in Nigeria

Emmanuel Olatubosun Sowunmi1, Oluwatoyin Temitope Aberuagba2, Albert Olumide Fayemi3, Olabisi Idowu Ajani4

1,2,3,4 School of Management Sciences, D.S. Adegbenro (ICT) Polytechnic, Itori-Ewekoro, Ogun State, Nigeria.   

Abstract

The integration of Nigeria with the global economy has increased since the 1990s, with a greater inflow of foreign direct investment (FDI). FDI is assumed to benefit a developing economy by supplementing domestic investment and generating employment through technology transfer. Studies on the impact of foreign capital on the Nigerian economy, like those of other developing countries, remain inconclusive. Most of these studies ignored the possibility of bi-directional causality between foreign direct investment and economic growth. This paper therefore examines the impact of FDI on economic growth in Nigeria, using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression technique within an extended production-function framework, complemented by diagnostic tests to ensure model robustness. The empirical analysis shows that FDI solely does not, in a real sense, cause economic growth. Moreover, results of the regression analysis could not establish that FDI is a statistically important determinant of real GDP in Nigeria. Growth in real GDP is mostly explained by its own shocks. The implication of this is that the policy linkage between real GDP and FDI is weak, and there is a need for policy to ensure provision of adequate infrastructure in order to maximize the potential benefit of FDI in Nigeria.     

Keywords: Global economy, Developing economy, Economic growth, Employment, Technology, Capital, GDP

References

  1. Acquah, A.M. and Ibrahim, M. (2020) ‘Foreign direct investment, economic growth and financial sector development in Africa’, Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, 10(4), pp. 315-334. https://doi.org/10.1080/20430795.2019.1685320
  2. Adegboye, F.B., Osabohien, R., Olokoyo, F.O., et al. (2020) ‘Institutional quality, foreign direct investment, and economic development in sub-Saharan Africa’, Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 7(1), 38. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-020-0529-x
  3. Akinlo, A.E. (2004) ‘Foreign direct investment and growth in Nigeria: An empirical investigation’, Journal of Policy Modeling, 26(5), pp. 627-639. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2004.04.011
  4. Amin, S. (1976) Unequal development. New York: Monthly Review Press.
  5. Anetor, F.O. (2020) ‘Human capital threshold, foreign direct investment and economic growth: evidence from sub-Saharan Africa’, International Journal of Development Issues, 19(3), pp. 323-337. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJDI-03-2020-0040
  6. Barro, R.J. and Sala i Martin, X. (2004) Economic growth. 2nd ed. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
  7. Bhattacharyya, D.K. (2006) Research methodology. New Delhi: Excel Books India.
  8. Borensztein, E., De Gregorio, J. and Lee, J.-W. (1998) ‘How does foreign direct investment affect economic growth?’, Journal of International Economics, 45(1), pp. 115-135. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(97)00033-0
  9. CBN (2025) Statistical bulletin. Central Bank of Nigeria, Abuja. https://www.cbn.gov.ng/documents/statbulletin.asp
  10. Dada, J.T. and Abanikanda, E.O. (2022) ‘The moderating effect of institutions in foreign direct investment led growth hypothesis in Nigeria’, Economic Change and Restructuring, 55(2), pp. 903-929. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-021-09328-4
  11. Daniel, P.S. and Sam, A.G. (2011) Research methodology. New Delhi: Gyan Publishing House.
  12. Davidavičienė, V. (2018) ‘Research methodology: An introduction’. In: Modernizing the academic teaching and research environment: Methodologies and cases in business research. Cham: Springer International Publishing, pp. 1-23.
  13. Degu, G. and Yigzaw, T. (2006) Research methodology. Ethiopia: University of Gondar.
  14. Dunning, J.H. (1993) Multinational enterprises and the global economy. Wokingham: Addison-Wesley.
  15. Easterly, W. (2001) The elusive quest for growth. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
  16. Emako, E., Nuru, S. and Menza, M. (2022) ‘The effect of foreign direct investment on economic growth in developing countries’, Transnational Corporations Review, 14(4), pp. 382-401. https://doi.org/10.1080/19186444.2021.1957065
  17. Ennin, A. and Wiafe, E.A. (2023) ‘The impact of mining foreign direct investment on economic growth in Ghana’, Cogent Economics & Finance, 11(2), 2251800. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2251800
  18. Frank, A.G. (1967) Capitalism and underdevelopment in Latin America. New York: Monthly Review Press.
  19. Giwa, B.A., George, E.O., Okodua, H., et al. (2020) ‘Empirical analysis of the effects of foreign direct investment inflows on Nigerian real economic growth: Implications for sustainable development goal-17’, Cogent Social Sciences, 6(1), 1727621. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311886.2020.1727621
  20. Goddard, W. and Melville, S. (2004) Research methodology: An introduction. 2nd ed. Cape Town: Juta and Company Ltd.
  21. Goundar, S. (2012) ‘Research methodology and research method’. In: Research methodology. Victoria University of Wellington, 1(1), pp. 1-47.
  22. Gupta, A. and Gupta, N. (2022) Research methodology. Agra: SBPD Publications.
  23. Inekwe, J.N. (2013) ‘FDI, employment and economic growth in Nigeria’, African Development Review, 25(4), pp. 421-433. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12039
  24. Kothari, C.R. (2004) Research methodology: Methods and techniques. 2nd ed. New Delhi: New Age International.
  25. Lucas, R.E. (1988) ‘On the mechanics of economic development’,  Journal of Monetary Economics, 22(1), pp. 3-42.
  26. Mai, N.T. and Phuong, N.T.M. (2023) ‘Impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth in Vietnam’, VNUHCM Journal of Economics-Law and Management, 7(3), pp. 4658-4671. https://doi.org/10.32508/stdjelm.v7i3.1215
  27. Nguyen, M.L.T. (2022) ‘Foreign direct investment and economic growth: The role of financial development’, Cogent Business & Management, 9(1), 2127193. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2022.2127193
  28. Noor, K.B.M. (2008) ‘Case study: A strategic research methodology’, American Journal of Applied Sciences, 5(11), pp. 1602-1604. https://doi.org/10.3844/ajassp.2008.1602.1604
  29. Nupehewa, S., Liyanage, S., Polkotuwa, D., et al. (2022) ‘More than just investment: Causality analysis between foreign direct investment and economic growth’, PLoS One, 17(11), e0276621. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0276621
  30. Odugbesan, J.A. and Adebayo, T.S. (2020) ‘The symmetrical and asymmetrical effects of foreign direct investment and financial development on carbon emission: evidence from Nigeria’, SN Applied Sciences, 2(12), 1982. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-020-03817-5
  31. Okwu, A.T., Oseni, I.O. and Obiakor, R.T. (2020) ‘Does foreign direct investment enhance economic growth? Evidence from 30 leading global economies’, Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, 12(2), pp. 217-230. https://doi.org/10.1177/0974910120916920
  32. Olasehinde, I.O. and Ajayi, C.F. (2022) ‘Foreign direct investment and Nigerian economic growth’, Journal of Applied and Theoretical Social Sciences, 4(3), pp. 313-327. https://doi.org/1 .46421/jatss.v4i3.132
  33. Opeyemi, A.F. (2020) ‘Impact of foreign direct investment and inflation on economic growth of five randomly selected Countries in Africa’, Journal of Economics and International Finance, 12(2), pp. 65-73. https://doi.org/10.5897/JEIF2020.1028
  34. Ørngreen, R. and Levinsen, K.T. (2017) ‘Workshops as a research methodology’, The Electronic Journal of e-Learning, 15(1), pp. 70-81. https://vbn.aau.dk/en/publications/workshops-as-a-research-methodology/
  35. Oyegoke, E.O. and Aras, O.N. (2021) ‘Impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth in Nigeria’, Journal of Management, Economics, and Industrial Organization, 5(1), pp. 31-38. https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/108348.html
  36. Panneerselvam, R. (2004) Research methodology. New Delhi: PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd.
  37. Patel, M. and Patel, N. (2019) ‘Exploring research methodology’, International Journal of Research and Review, 6(3), pp. 48-55.
  38. Rajasekar, D. and Verma, R. (2013) Research methodology. New Delhi: Archers & Elevators Publishing House.
  39. Romer, P.M. (1990) ‘Endogenous technological change’. In: Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), pp. S71-S102.
  40. Shittu, W.O., Yusuf, H.A., El Houssein, A.E.M., et al. (2020) ‘The impacts of foreign direct investment and globalisation on economic growth in West Africa: examining the role of political governance’, Journal of Economic Studies, 47(7), pp. 1733-1755. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-09-2019-0446
  41. Solow, R. M. (1956) ‘A contribution to the theory of economic growth’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), pp. 65-94.
  42. Swan, T.W. (1956) ‘Economic growth and capital accumulation’, Economic Record, 32(2), pp. 334-361.
  43. Todaro, M.P. and Smith, S. C. (2015) Economic development. 12th ed. Boston: Pearson
  44. UNCTAD (2025) World investment report 2025: International investment in the digital economy. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, United Nations, Geneva. https://unctad.org/wir2025
  45. WB (2025) World development indicators. World Bank, Washington, DC. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
  46. Wiredu, J., Nketiah, E. and Adjei, M. (2020) ‘The relationship between trade openness, foreign direct investment and economic growth in West Africa: Static panel data model’, Journal of Human Resource and Sustainability Studies, 8(1), pp. 18-34. https://doi.org/10.4236/jhrss.2020.81002
  47. Younsi, M., Bechtini, M. and Khemili, H. (2021) ‘The effects of foreign aid, foreign direct investment and domestic investment on economic growth in African countries: Nonlinearities and complementarities’, African Development Review, 33(1), pp. 55-66. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12491

Rajshahi Medical College and University of Rajshahi, BANGLADESH.



Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (RMIT), Melbourne, AUSTRALIA.




Agri. Services, Islamabad Model College for Girls, and Riphah International University, PAKISTAN.




Kampala International University, UGANDA; Rivers State University, NIGERIA.


Discover more from International Journal of Technology, Health and Sustainability

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading